Miscellaneous Stories

People for the West Newsletter for June, 2021

The People for the West newsletter for June, 2021, is now online:

https://wryheat.wordpress.com/people-for-the-west/2021-archive/2021-06-June/

Federal spending is going wild. Some say the “general welfare” clause of the Constitution allows such spending. Not so, much of the spending is not authorized by the Constitution.

In this issue we look at what the Constitution allows and provide links to see the specific language.

We also support nullification by states to enforce the Constitution. The 10th Amendment makes clear that all powers not granted by the Constitution to the federal government are reserved to the states and to the people.

We also examine the implications of Biden policies with regard to property rights and energy policy.

Enjoy,

Jonathan DuHamel

The past, present, and future state of Tucson’s creeks and rivers

From the Arizona Geological Survey:

‘The past, present, and future state of Tucson’s creeks and rivers’, a #StoryMap by the Watershed Management Group (a 501 (c) non-profit). The presentation includes some excellent historic images, diagrams, and interactive maps showing flow conditions, past and present, in Tucson drainages. Most illustrations have explanatory text. Just scroll down through the article.

Take a look.

An Arizona Rancher’s Request of President Biden

The following is a letter sent to President Biden by Southern Arizona Ranchers Jim and Sue Chilton, both friends of mine. Their ranch lies south of the small town of Arivaca and extends to the Mexican border which is “protected” by a four-strand barbed-wire fence.

Dear President Biden:
State and local Governments and, more importantly, families suffer from the flood of hard drugs smuggled into our country across the southern border.  Our motion-activated trail cameras document that more than one thousand smugglers and illegal entrants have crossed the international boundary in this rugged area through our ranch pastures south of Arivaca, Arizona.  We estimate that over half of the camouflaged Cartel mules recorded by our hidden cameras carry hard drugs into our country to poison our people.  Personally, we and our neighbors, as border Arizona ranchers, have had to live with the constant threat of this drug traffic for more than ten years since the Cartel took over this formerly unwalled, unguarded open pathway with no patrol road paralleling the border for their nefarious business.
Fisher Construction Company entered into a contract last year (2020) with the United States to construct a forty-two-mile barrier to halt unimpeded passage through this region’s border ranches and rural communities of illegal drugs, wanted criminals, sex traffic workers, and previously convicted and deported individuals. The contract was to close the open door between Nogales, Arizona and the Tohono O’Odham Reservation to the west. The work has been largely completed except for a five-mile gap.
Since Fisher Construction Company has purchased and located 100% of the steel bollards necessary to finish the work adjacent to the Border and since the cost of terminating the Fisher contract is estimated to be nearly equal to the cost of completing this work, it makes good sense to finish the portion now standing open. Clearly your initial decision to leave this work incomplete is welcomed by the drug runners, by their northern distribution network, and by their U.S. customers; it is not welcomed by law-abiding residents of this region who have been left with an illegal drug importation route running right through their ranches and delivering addiction to our fellow citizens.
We respectfully request you direct Homeland Security to honor the Fisher contract and complete the closure of this five-mile gap.
Respectfully,
Jim and Sue Chilton
CC:  Homeland Security, Border Patrol, Arizona Congressional Delegation
See also:

Examining the Effect of the Border Wall on Private and Tribal Landowners

Chilton vs Center for Biological Diversity

From Rep. Andy Biggs: Arizona Congressman Shares What US-Mexico Border Is Like Now

Comments on President Biden’s Policies

On his first days as president, Joe Biden issued dozens of executive orders that profoundly change U.S. policy on energy and climate. Many of the policies kill American jobs, but the Biden administration promises that those jobs will be replaced by new “green” jobs. Question: shouldn’t the “green” jobs have been created before killing existing jobs? The stated rationale for these changes is that we are in a “climate crisis” that is an “existential threat to the planet.” However, there is no physical evidence supporting the claim of a “climate crisis” or that carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels are the principal cause of the “crisis.” There is, however, physical evidence that all climate changes we have experienced fall within natural variation. The only crisis is purely political.

“In our time, political speech and writing are largely the defense of the indefensible.” – George Orwell

Biden tells us to follow the science, but his policies demonstrate that he and his administration are ignorant of the science.

Read more at: https://wryheat.wordpress.com/people-for-the-west/2021-archive/2021-02-february/

Glass recyclers have concerns over Tucson’s new plan

As I wrote in a previous article, Comments On Tucson City Council’s Plan On Recycling Glass, the City of Tucson plans to stop collecting glass in the recycle bins. Instead the City will provide sites around the city for residents to drop off glass. The glass will be ground to sand and used to fill sandbags or as an aggregate for construction projects. That plan has drawn the ire of glass recycling companies.

In response to that article, I recently received an email from Laura Hennemann, Vice President, Strategic Materials, the largest glass recycler in North America. The email contained three attachments, all letters to the Tucson City Council, that show the folly of the City plan.

Ms. Hennermann writes, “We are saddened to also learn the City’s glass will be pulverized and used as aggregate, ending the life of glass. Glass is 100% recyclable, endlessly. Glass does not belong in the ground or the landfill.” Read her full letter (click back arrow to return): View Fullscreen

The second letter is from Angus E. Crane, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, NAIMA (North American Insulation Manufacturers Association). His main point is that recycled glass is necessary to manufacture fiberglass insulation. Since 1992, when NAIMA started collecting recycled data, 61.8 billion pounds of recycled material have been diverted from the waste stream.

Read his letter: View Fullscreen 

The third letter is from Scott DeFife, President of the Glass Packaging Institute. His 4-page letter goes into detail on the flaws of Tucson’s plan. “The glass reuse plan is missing several key points in the underlying facts and analysis concerning removal of glass from curbside recycling, including its positive impact on carbon emissions, versus the proposed alternative, downcycling glass for sand substitute.” Read his letter: View Fullscreen

Tucson City Council members should rethink their plan. As I wrote before, I am skeptical that most residents will bother to find one of the city’s planned drop-off bins. I think that under the proposed plan, most glass will wind up in the landfill.

PFW newsletter November 2020 now online

The People for the West newsletter for November, 2020 is now online:

https://wryheat.wordpress.com/people-for-the-west/2020-archive/2020-11-November/

 

I’m sending out the November newsletter early to avoid it being lost in possible post-election chaos. We start with an informative, philosophical article on biases and fallacies by Dr. Judith Curry, former Professor and Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology

 

Enjoy,

Jonathan

Biases in Science and Life

The following is an article by Dr. Judith Curry on biases we encounter and should be aware of. This is especially important in evaluating claims in climate science and medicine. See the original at:

https://judithcurry.com/2020/10/04/how-we-fool-ourselves/#more-26638

How we fool ourselves
by Dr. Judith Curry
“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool.” – physicist Richard Feynman

Cognitive biases relate to self-deception that leads to incorrect conclusions based on cognitive factors, including information-processing shortcuts (heuristics) (Tversky and Kahnemann 1974). Cognitive biases can abound when reasoning and making judgments about a complex problem such as climate change.

Cognitive biases affecting belief formation that are of particular relevance to the science of climate change include:

Confirmation bias: the tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that confirms one’s preconceptions.
Anchoring bias: the tendency to rely too heavily on one trait or piece of information, such as the mean or previous results.
Framing bias: using an approach that is too narrow that pre-ordains the conclusion.
Overconfidence effect: unjustified, excessive belief.
Illusory correlations: false identification of relationships with rare or novel occurrences.
Ambiguity effect: the tendency to avoid options for which the probability of a favorable outcome is unknown.
Self-serving bias: a tendency for people to evaluate information in a way that is beneficial to their interests.
Belief bias: evaluating the logical strength of an argument based on belief in the truth or falsity of the conclusion.
Availability heuristic: The tendency to overestimate the likelihood of events with greater ‘availability’ in memory, which can be influenced by how recent the memories are or how unusual or emotionally charged they may be.

A fallacy is logically incorrect reasoning that undermines the logical validity of the argument and leads to its assessment as unsound. There are many different classifications of fallacies. Below are some fallacies that I’ve seen used in arguments about climate science:

Begging the question is a fallacy occurring in deductive reasoning in which the proposition to be proved is assumed implicitly or explicitly in one of the premises.
Correlation implies causation is a logical fallacy by which two events that occur together are claimed to be cause and effect.
Fallacy of distribution occurs when an argument assumes that what is true of the members is true of the class (composition), or what is true of the class is true of its members (division).
Hasty generalization is the logical fallacy of reaching an inductive generalization based on too little evidence.
Statistical special pleading occurs when the interpretation of the relevant statistic is ‘massaged’ by looking for ways to reclassify or requantify data from one portion of results, but not applying the same scrutiny to other categories.
Fallacy of the single cause occurs when it is assumed that there is one simple cause of an outcome when in reality it may have been caused by a number of only jointly sufficient causes.

The category of intentional fallacies is not about how we fool ourselves, but how we try to fool others. Examples of intentional fallacies used routinely in the public debate on climate change include:

Diverting the argument to unrelated issues with a red herring(ignoratio elenchi).
Ad hominem fallacy: asserting that an argument is wrong because of something discreditable/not authoritative about the person? making the argument.
Appeal to motive: challenging a thesis by calling into question the motives of its proposer.
Asserting that everyone agrees (argumentum ad populum, bandwagoning)
Creating a ‘false dilemma’ (either-or fallacy) in which the situation is oversimplified
Selectively using facts (card stacking)
Making false or misleading comparisons (false equivalence and false analogy)
Appeal to consequences of belief (argumentum ad consequentiam): an appeal to emotion that concludes a hypothesis or belief to be either true or false based on whether the premise leads to desirable or undesirable consequences.

People for the West newsletter for October 2020 now online

The People for the West newsletter for October is now online:

https://wryheat.wordpress.com/people-for-the-west/2020-archive/2020-10-October/

Some of the subjects covered:

Electoral College – get a new free ebook from the Heritage Foundation

Are coronavirus lockdowns constitutional?

Coronavirus tests, which should you get?

Wildfires are not related to global warming

 

NASA data show that global fires are down by 25%

Astrophysicist Asserts The Globe Will Cool ~1°C During 2020-2053 Due To An Oncoming Grand Solar Minimum

Farmers’ Almanac Forecast: Brutally Cold Winter For 2020-21

Read and act,

Jonathan

PFW newsletter for September, 2020 now online

The People for the West newsletter for September, 2020, is now online:

https://wryheat.wordpress.com/people-for-the-west/2020-archive/2020-09-september/

 

Some of the subjects:

California Electrical Blackouts – A Result of Political Correctness

States that Switch to Renewable Power Suffer High Costs, Lagging Growth

How Bad Eco-Policies, Weather Are Fueling California’s Wildfires

The Dirty Secrets of “Clean” Electric Vehicles

For some time I have been hearing about the conspiracy theories of “Q” or Qanon. Here is what is happening

President Trump’s Handling of The Virus Was Not a Failure